Stirling Council Population Projection 2022 2032 (October 2025)

The National Records of Scotland (NRS) recently published the results of its latest round of population projections for 
sub-national areas in Scotland. These are calculated using population estimates from a base year, in this case 2022. The figures are then rolled forward on the basis of past trends in fertility, mortality and net migration for individual council and health board areas to the year 2047.

NRS assumes that past trends will continue, therefore they should not be seen as precise forecasts of the future population.

In many areas, including Stirling, migration is the most important component of population change. It is also important to note that projections become more uncertain the further ahead they go, especially for smaller council areas like Stirling. With this in mind this briefing note will focus on Stirling’s population projection from 2022 to 2032.

The primary purpose of the national population projections is to provide an estimate of the future population of Scotland as a common framework for use in national planning in a number of different fields such as education and health. Projections are also used for teacher workforce models and looking at the implications of an ageing population.